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Friday, October 17, 2003

Who Lied About Iraq? IV
Oh wow. I hit the jackpot on this one. The International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW) produced a report called "Collateral Damage" full of predictions about the Iraq war. I'm just linking to a press release, but from there you can get the whole report. This is obviously the source for Dr. Gould in the previous post. Incidentally, these jokers won the 1985 Nobel Peace Prize.

Table 5 has a bunch of numbers. I will paraphrase. I can't cut and paste from the pdf.
They expect 49,000 to 261,000 deaths from a conventional war. This includes 100 to 5000 Coalition deaths. If the war turns nuclear, we could see 375,000 to 3,889,000 deaths. Postwar health issues could create additional 200,000 deaths.

As if this weren't bad enough, they offer a number of additional expected costs:
*war cost = $50-200bn
*occupation cost = $5-20bn/year
*reconstruction cost = $150-200bn
*total economic collapse in Iraq
*destablized Middle East
*increased terrorism
*US and world recession
*refugee crisis
*widespread environmental damage
*oil fires
*chemical, biological, and radiological pollution of air, land, and water
*epidemic disease

Also, the the IPPNW brags that this report ran in New Scientist, The World Today (Australian Broadcasting Company), Toronto Star, CTV Canada, Hindustan Times (Agence France-Presse), The Frontier Post (Pakistan), People's Daily (Beijing), Sky News (UK), British Medical Journal, Al-Ahram Weekly Online.

Not quite, fellas.

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